Basketball and gambling have more in common than you may think. In order to succeed at pursuit, it helps to have a proven system. In the case of basketball, obtaining a reliable offensive strategy which you’re able to roll out every game irrespective of the matchup gives you a leg-up. Believe Mike D’Antoni’s free-flowing space-and-pace assault or Jerry Sloan’s nearly unbeatable pick-and-roll crime in the 1980s and 90s.
If it comes to gambling, you can acquire the exact same sort of benefit by having a tightly defined set of rules that it is possible to use to each and every match regardless of who is on the court.
Luckily, you don’t need to create your own betting strategy from scratch. There are already several established strategies that you can try on for size once you lay down wagers on your favourite teams, and there’s no rule against pilfering from the playbooks of individuals who arrived before you. We’ve included a number of the most reliable systems and money-management strategies below, along with insights on how to use them. When combined with an understanding of the game, these systems might help turn rookie betters into all-stars.
The High Totals System
Few approaches are easier to understand and apply in relation to the Top Totals System created by Allen Moody, a sports-betting professional and also the author of Becoming a Winning Gambler and Sports Betting Basics. Moody discovered that sportsbooks often underestimate game totals for NBA non-conference games, and started taking the over on all games with an over/under of 220 total points. It’s a simple strategy, but it paid off as he had been right 63.5% of the time for all games meeting that criteria from 2004-05 to 2008-09.
Those kinds of games have been rarities a decade ago, but they are becoming more common now as teams push the pace and drain more three-pointers. Back in 2004-05, NBA teams scored a mean of 97.2 points per game. That number jumped to 100.0 in 2008-09 and climbed all the way to 105.6 in 2016-17. Sportsbooks have gotten savvy for this tendency, but there’s still value to be found by taking the over in matches with especially high total-point projections.
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